Federal orders establish Class prices that are synchronized to move together with a market- determined price referred to as the Basic Formula Price (BFP). BFP has been utilized to set the price of milk used for manufacturing and as a mover of the higher Class prices. As such, it is a key determinant of changes in producer prices. To administer the price of milk in a manner that creates neither surplus nor deficit conditions, it is necessary to have a price that is competitively determined and allows all products to be sold. That is, it needs to be determined by economic forces that reflect both supply and demand conditions.
Historically, the price of milk used for manufacturing was determined from the price paid for Grade B milk by unregulated manufacturing plants located in Minnesota and Wisconsin, often referred to as the M-W price. As the volume of Grade B milk has continuously declined, the use of the M-W price has become increasingly suspect (Table 1). Currently, about 10 percent of the milk in Minnesota and Wisconsin is Grade B.
In 1995, as a temporary measure, USDA began determining the BFP by adjusting the M-W price to current market conditions with the use of bulk commodity prices. In the minds of some, these product prices were unreliable in that they were not determined by competitive market forces.
Another issue is whether all milk used in manufacturing ought to be priced the same or if separate prices should be established for milk used for cheese and for the combination of butter and nonfat dry milk (NDM). This is essentially an issue of whether there are to be three or four milk classes. In 1992, the number of milk Classes was expanded from three to four. Thus, the BFP effectively sets the price of milk used to make cheese (Class III) while the price of milk used to make NDM is set at a lower level (Class IIIA). The precipitating factors leading to the establishment of the fourth Class included:
In seeking alternatives to the M-W price series, over 30 BFP options were analyzed. These analyses were conducted by the USDA Basic Formula Price Replacement Committee, by a University BFP Study Committee, and many industry interests as reflected in comments received by USDA.
Most of these 30 options were rejected. These fall into four categories which were rejected for the following reasons:
USDA proposes to establish two manufacturing product Classes. It uses a component system in pricing Class III milk used for cheese and a product formula in pricing Class IV milk used for butter and NDM.
Component pricing, used for Class III, involves paying farmers based on the actual protein, butterfat and other solids content of milk. The component values are based on product prices. While a BFP is not calculated for pricing milk used for manufacturing, it can be derived for use as a mover of higher Class prices.
Class III prices protein, butterfat and other solids (whey). All components are proposed to be priced utilizing NASS/USDA product prices resulting from a survey of actual processor sales transactions. The rule proposes to subtract from the survey prices make allowances that are based on cost analysis/surveys. It then utilizes standard industry yield factors to derive a butterfat, protein and other solids price. The specific proposed formulas are:
Product price formulas derive a manufacturing milk price from the product yields from 100 pounds of milk, multiplied by the related product prices and subtracting a cost of processing -- often referred to as a make allowance. An acceptable product formula requires reliable product prices and a make allowance. The Class IV product formula utilizes the same butterfat price as for Class III:
Orders lacking an interest in component pricing can maintain a per cwt skim/butterfat pricing system. Four orders lacking significant cheese production have proposed not using component pricing. Prices are adjusted for somatic cell count in four orders.
The Class II price is set as a fixed differential of $0.70 per cwt over the Class IV price. This reflects the cost of drying NDM and of reconstituting it for use in Class II products.
Consequences of Proposed Rule
The proposed rule represents a viable system for the pricing of milk used for manufacturing. Therefore, it is a significant advancement over the current M-W based pricing system. However, in essence, the proposed rule effectively eliminates the BFP and substitutes a Class III and Class IV pricing system for setting prices for manufacturing and for moving higher Class prices.
Component price provisions provide a more equitable payment system based on protein for both producers and processors. Over time, the result should be incentives to produce higher protein milk to the benefit of consumers.
The prices generated track the current BFP quite closely, generally being within a few cents per cwt. Although the prices in Figures 1 and 2 appear to be a bit higher than those generated under the current system, this may not be the case when they are implemented. The survey prices that are proposed will likely average lower than the spot market prices used here. Survey prices were not available over the period presented in Figures 1 and 2.