The Federal
Agriculture Improvement and Reform Act of 1996 (FAIR Act) made several
significant changes from previous farm program legislation. While the changes
impact all program commodities (e.g., wheat, feed grains, cotton and rice), they
have prompted considerable concern for the future of the rice industry in Texas.
The major changes are:
Estimated Annual
Contract Payment = Contract acres * Farm Program Yield
* Contract Payment Rate * 0.85
The 0.85 factor indicates that only 85 percent of historical production is eligible for contract payments. In a share lease situation, multiply the estimated annual contract payment by the designated share agreed upon and reported annually to FSA on form CCC 478.
Historically, Texas
rice producers have been heavily dependent on government program payments to
supplement market income. Even with substantial government support, the number
of rice acres in Texas has been generally declining. Under the new program,
average rice contract payments per acre are large when compared to other program
crop payments (Table 2). Using the state average farm program yields, rice
payments per acre are nearly 4 times as high as those for the next highest
commodity (cotton).
Low prices in
previous years have prompted many producers to consider the feasibility of
alternative enterprises. Although 1996 rice yields and current market prices are
enabling many producers and landowners to realize profitable returns, there is
uncertainty as to the level of future rice returns. In general, rice contract
payments per acre are considerably higher than either current cash rents ($40 to
$75 per planted acre) or the cash equivalent for many of the prevailing share
agreements given recent year's market prices. As indicated earlier, in a cash
rent situation, the operator receives the entire contract payment. Given the
high contract payment levels relative to rents associated with many existing
rental arrangements, there has been increased interest on the part of some
landowners to either renegotiate or end their rental arrangements with their
tenants.
The relatively
risk-free nature of the contract payments, albeit only for the seven-year period
(1996-2002), may encourage such renegotiations with some landowners seeking the
greater security of the known fixed payment levels rather than the more variable
share rents associated with fluctuating rice yields and prices. Landowners may
wish to increase cash rents, change the share arrangement, or in some cases, end
the lease relationship completely and keep the contract payments for themselves.
It is the differences between current rental agreement rates and the per acre
contract payments that is contributing to considerable discussion in regard to
restructuring landowner-tenant relationships in the rice industry. This means
that landowners will likely be asking for a larger share or higher cash lease
amount. For example, a landowner who currently receives $70 per acre on a cash
lease may see the estimated $116 per acre contract payment to be paid to the
tenant as reason for wanting to renegotiate the lease agreement. The differences
between rental rates and contract payments per acre are not as large for other
program commodities. As a result, landowner-tenant relationships have not become
an issue elsewhere as they have in the Texas Rice Belt.
Due to the farm
program changes, landowners and tenants may wish to evaluate whether changes in
the rental arrangements are warranted. This negotiation should be based on
economic and financial considerations, not what the neighbor is doing, what is
read in the newspaper, or being discussed at the local coffee shops. Tenants
should prepare a rice enterprise budget, which can be used in the negotiations
to show how alternative arrangements would impact their projected income and
expenses as well as the amounts that landowners could expect to receive. A
software program has been developed specifically for this purpose in the
Department of Agricultural Economics at Texas A&M University. The software
can be used to quickly evaluate the economic impact on both the landowner and
tenant for alternative lease arrangements. The software includes several common
share lease and cash rent tenure arrangements which may be used in evaluating
returns accruing to landowners and tenants over the 1997 to 2002 period for a
range of expected rice yields and market prices. The program is flexible so that
users can customize lease arrangements and use their own enterprise budgets for
evaluation. Anyone interested can contact their local County Extension Agent for
information about how to obtain a copy.
With rice enterprise
production budgets it is fairly easy to estimate the economic returns to the
landowner and the tenant given various rental arrangements and alternative
enterprise possibilities for the next year. However, producers, landowners,
lenders and other agribusinesses need to examine their economic options based on
their longer-term expectations for alternative crop and livestock prices and
costs of production. Some farmers whose land is suitable for other enterprises
have viable options in crop production. However, it should not be assumed that
this past year's prices are representative of those that will exist in the
future.
There are important
long-run implications associated with a shift out of rice production. The Texas
rice industry is served by a highly specialized infrastructure, especially in
terms of water delivery, and rice drying, storage, and processing. Recent
declines in Texas rice acreage has placed this infrastructure in a very fragile
position. A key question that is not easily answered is how much reduction in
Texas rice acreage can the industry sustain before the infrastructure goes out
of business?
If the rice industry
infrastructure collapses, then what might have been a sound economic decision in
the short-term could prove hazardous down the road. In the event rice production
becomes more attractive to landowners in the post FAIR Act period, they run the
risk that a viable infrastructure to support rice production will not be
available in the future. And, a historically important cropping alternative for
their land will have been lost. Similarly, there may not be a supply of tenant
operators available to farm rice on rental acreage.
Previous attempts at
identifying economically viable cropping alternatives to rice production have
been futile for many of the soil and climatic situations. For these producers,
their only option may be cattle production which is subject to wide cyclical
price swings.
In some cases, after
reviewing the situation, the landowner and tenant may not come to agreement and
either may chose to terminate the lease relationship. As indicated earlier, when
a lease expires, as long as the landowner properly notifies the tenant, it is
well within his/her property rights to end the lease relationship and assume
total control of the land. The landowner would then receive all contract
payments up to the $40,000 per "person" payment limitation. By consulting with
an experienced attorney, it may be possible to receive payments for more than a
single "person" on a farm operation. To receive the payments, the landowner
would then need to either farm the land, establish a new rental agreement with a
different tenant, or at least maintain weed and erosion control as required by
USDA-FSA. The following considerations should be kept in mind:
Renegotiation of
land leases is a common phenomenon throughout agricultural history. Lease
arrangements are largely predicated on tradition and the supply and demand of
the local rental market. The specifics of tenure arrangements tend to be private
(between the parties involved) and fairly rigid over time, subject to change
only in the event of rather major changes in economic conditions.
As an example, the
Midwest corn/soybean complex routinely experiences rising and falling cash
rental rates, keeping pace with the level of net returns associated with these
two crops. The prominent role of farm management consultants representing
landowners contributes, perhaps in large part, to the seemingly continual
fluctuation of rental rates in this region. In contrast, the much more
static-to-declining nature of rental rates in the Texas Rice Belt accentuates
the shock of the current situation. Historical returns occurring in Texas rice
production in combination with few feasible enterprise alternatives have allowed
tenants to basically determine rental rates. Tenure arrangements have also been
driven by considerations of large landowners and operators in managing the
effects of payment limitations. For the most part, however, supply forces have
dominated demand, leading to a tendency towards lower returns to landowners.
The FAIR Act of 1996
allows landowners to reverse these market forces, at least in the short run, and
many appear interested in these opportunities. Such actions have dire
consequences for affected tenants in the short run, with potentially negative
long-run effects for the total Texas rice industry.
Due to the
importance of decisions made with regard to tenure arrangements, it is important
to obtain and analyze good information before making any decisions. This will
enable landowners and tenants to negotiate with a good understanding of the
economic implications for both parties.