Table 1. Comparison of Crop Prices and Land Values for the Baseline versus
Elimination of the Ethanol Tax Subsidy.
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1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
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Corn ($/bu.)
BASELINE 2.37 2.36 2.42 2.44 2.55 2.61
ETHANOL 2.27 2.28 2.30 2.32 2.42 2.48
Wheat ($/bu.)
BASELINE 3.38 3.30 3.63 3.63 3.78 3.78
ETHANOL 3.36 3.27 3.60 3.59 3.74 3.74
Cotton ($/lb.)
BASELINE 0.6650 0.6458 0.6499 0.6667 0.6803 0.6857
ETHANOL 0.6648 0.6430 0.6468 0.6627 0.6760 0.6812
Sorghum ($/bu.)
BASELINE 2.28 2.25 2.32 2.38 2.47 2.52
ETHANOL 2.20 2.20 2.24 2.30 2.38 2.42
Soybeans ($/bu.)
BASELINE 6.23 5.83 5.80 5.92 5.98 6.08
ETHANOL 6.28 5.78 5.74 5.82 5.88 5.97
Barley ($/bu.)
BASELINE 2.36 2.25 2.31 2.39 2.44 2.43
ETHANOL 2.32 2.22 2.25 2.33 2.37 2.36
Oats ($/bu.)
BASELINE 1.52 1.36 1.38 1.39 1.41 1.43
ETHANOL 1.50 1.33 1.34 1.35 1.38 1.39
Rice ($/cwt.)
BASELINE 8.71 8.64 8.50 8.73 8.81 8.92
ETHANOL 8.70 8.64 8.49 8.72 8.79 8.90
Soybean Meal ($/ton)
BASELINE 196.80 188.13 190.43 194.87 196.70 195.55
ETHANOL 198.27 187.75 190.02 193.67 195.58 194.51
All Hay ($/ton)
BASELINE 86.39 83.56 83.17 82.73 80.60 79.15
ETHANOL 86.17 83.31 82.83 82.35 80.24 78.81
Livestock Prices
Feeder Cattle ($/cwt)
BASELINE 67.87 75.30 83.49 90.22 92.92 85.70
ETHANOL 67.98 75.25 83.21 89.74 92.46 85.42
Culled Cows ($/cwt)
BASELINE 31.95 38.02 43.26 45.96 47.30 44.20
ETHANOL 31.96 37.85 42.90 45.43 46.78 43.79
Hog Prices
Barrows/Gilts
BASELINE 53.81 46.36 42.04 45.42 49.03 46.08
ETHANOL 53.79 46.15 41.60 44.76 48.33 45.45
Culled Sows ($/cwt)
BASELINE 44.63 37.45 35.02 36.72 39.58 37.48
ETHANOL 44.68 37.40 34.78 36.34 39.17 37.14
Annual Rate of Change for U.S. Land Prices (%)
BASELINE 4.90 5.43 3.12 2.42 1.17 2.71
ETHANOL 4.80 5.26 2.77 1.94 0.60 2.41
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