Table 1. Comparison of Crop Prices and Land Values for the Baseline versus Elimination of the Ethanol Tax Subsidy. _______________________________________________________________________________________ 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 _______________________________________________________________________________________ Corn ($/bu.) BASELINE 2.37 2.36 2.42 2.44 2.55 2.61 ETHANOL 2.27 2.28 2.30 2.32 2.42 2.48 Wheat ($/bu.) BASELINE 3.38 3.30 3.63 3.63 3.78 3.78 ETHANOL 3.36 3.27 3.60 3.59 3.74 3.74 Cotton ($/lb.) BASELINE 0.6650 0.6458 0.6499 0.6667 0.6803 0.6857 ETHANOL 0.6648 0.6430 0.6468 0.6627 0.6760 0.6812 Sorghum ($/bu.) BASELINE 2.28 2.25 2.32 2.38 2.47 2.52 ETHANOL 2.20 2.20 2.24 2.30 2.38 2.42 Soybeans ($/bu.) BASELINE 6.23 5.83 5.80 5.92 5.98 6.08 ETHANOL 6.28 5.78 5.74 5.82 5.88 5.97 Barley ($/bu.) BASELINE 2.36 2.25 2.31 2.39 2.44 2.43 ETHANOL 2.32 2.22 2.25 2.33 2.37 2.36 Oats ($/bu.) BASELINE 1.52 1.36 1.38 1.39 1.41 1.43 ETHANOL 1.50 1.33 1.34 1.35 1.38 1.39 Rice ($/cwt.) BASELINE 8.71 8.64 8.50 8.73 8.81 8.92 ETHANOL 8.70 8.64 8.49 8.72 8.79 8.90 Soybean Meal ($/ton) BASELINE 196.80 188.13 190.43 194.87 196.70 195.55 ETHANOL 198.27 187.75 190.02 193.67 195.58 194.51 All Hay ($/ton) BASELINE 86.39 83.56 83.17 82.73 80.60 79.15 ETHANOL 86.17 83.31 82.83 82.35 80.24 78.81 Livestock Prices Feeder Cattle ($/cwt) BASELINE 67.87 75.30 83.49 90.22 92.92 85.70 ETHANOL 67.98 75.25 83.21 89.74 92.46 85.42 Culled Cows ($/cwt) BASELINE 31.95 38.02 43.26 45.96 47.30 44.20 ETHANOL 31.96 37.85 42.90 45.43 46.78 43.79 Hog Prices Barrows/Gilts BASELINE 53.81 46.36 42.04 45.42 49.03 46.08 ETHANOL 53.79 46.15 41.60 44.76 48.33 45.45 Culled Sows ($/cwt) BASELINE 44.63 37.45 35.02 36.72 39.58 37.48 ETHANOL 44.68 37.40 34.78 36.34 39.17 37.14 Annual Rate of Change for U.S. Land Prices (%) BASELINE 4.90 5.43 3.12 2.42 1.17 2.71 ETHANOL 4.80 5.26 2.77 1.94 0.60 2.41 _______________________________________________________________________________________