Representative Farms Economic Outlook: FAPRI/AFPC -- January 1997 Baseline

REPRESENTATIVE FARMS ECONOMIC
OUTLOOK: FAPRI/AFPC
JANUARY 1997 BASELINE


AFPC Working Paper 97-1


Edward G. Smith
James W. Richardson
David P. Anderson
Allan W. Gray
Steven L. Klose
John W. Miller
Joe L. Outlaw
Ronald D. Knutson
Robert B. Schwart, Jr.


Agricultural and Food Policy Center
Department of Agricultural Economics
Texas Agricultural Experiment Station
Texas Agricultural Extension Service
Texas A&M University


March 1997

College Station, Texas 77843-2124
Telephone: (409) 845-5913


REPRESENTATIVE FARMS ECONOMIC
OUTLOOK: FAPRI/AFPC
JANUARY 1997 BASELINE

Introduction

The farm level economic impacts of the Federal Agriculture Improvement and Reform Act of 1996 (FAIR) on representative crop and livestock operations are projected in this report. For this report the FAIR Act will be referred to as the 1996 Farm Bill. The analysis was conducted over the 1996-2002 planning horizon using AFPC's whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate farming operations in the nation's major production regions came from two sources:

The primary objective of the analysis is to determine the farms' economic viability by region and commodity over the seven years covered by the 1996 Farm Bill.

This report is organized into ten sections. The first section summarizes the major provisions of the 1996 Farm Bill, the panel farm process, key assumptions for the farm level analysis, and a map showing where the panel farms are located. The second section summarizes the FAPRI January 1997 Baseline and the policy and price assumptions used for the representative farm analyses. The third through sixth sections present the results of the simulation analyses for feed grain, wheat, cotton, and rice farms. The seventh through ninth sections summarize simulation results for dairy, cattle and hog farms. Two appendices constitute the final section of the report. Appendix A provides tables which summarize the physical and financial characteristics for each of the representative farms. Appendix B provides the names of producers and land grant faculty who cooperated in the panel interview process.


Provisions of the 1996 Farm Bill

Provisions in the 1996 Farm Bill which are important to the farm level analysis are summarized in Table 1. Major changes from the 1990 Farm Bill included elimination of target prices to calculate income support (deficiency) payment rates, decoupling of income support payments from prices and production, allowing virtual full flexibility in planting decisions, and eliminating acreage reduction program (ARP) authority.

Contract payments for participating cotton, wheat, feed grain, and rice producers are made based on 85 percent of their historical base acreage times farm program yield times a contract payment rate. The contract payment rate is calculated by dividing the fixed annual appropriations by the production that signs up in the program. While the annual contract payment rates can be estimated, they are not certain because of CRP issues and other technical factors which may change the eligible production slightly.

Planting flexibility was increased from the 15 percent NFA and 10 percent OFA for the 1990 farm bill to 100 percent (Table 1). Producers are now allowed to plant any combination of program and non-program crops (excluding vegetables) on their farmland without the loss of fixed payments. The 0/85 and 50/85 provisions in the 1990 farm bill are eliminated under the 1996 farm bill.

Marketing loan provisions for cotton and rice are continued under the 1996 Farm Bill. Marketing loans for wheat, feed grains, and soybeans are authorized in the 1996 Farm Bill, with the provision that the Secretary of Agriculture set the loan repayment rates so as to minimize forfeitures, government storage costs, and promote marketing.

The 1996 Farm Bill eliminates the dairy assessments and provides for a reduction in the milk support price. Each year the dairy support price falls 15 cents per hundred weight until the support price reaches $9.90 per hundred weight in 1999.


Panel Farm Process

AFPC has developed and maintains data to simulate 76 representative crop and livestock farms chosen from major production areas across the United States (Figure 1). Characteristics for each of the farms in terms of location, size, crop mix, assets, and average receipts are summarized in Appendix A. The location of these farms are primarily the result of discussions with staffers for the House and Senate Agriculture Committees. Information necessary to simulate the economic activity on these representative farms are developed from panels of producers using a consensus building interview process. Normally two farms are developed in each region using separate panels of producers: one is representative of moderate size full-time farm operations, while the second panel usually represents farms that are two to three times larger.

The data collected from the panel farms are analyzed in a whole farm simulation model (FLIPSIM) developed by AFPC. The producer panels are provided pro-forma financial statements for their representative farm and are asked to verify the accuracy of the past year and the reasonableness of a four to five year projection. Each panel must approve of the model's ability to reasonably reflect economic activity on their representative farm prior to using the farm for policy analyses.

Most farms used in the analysis have been updated with the panels through 1996. Those not updated during 1996 were indexed to begin in 1996 using indices for input costs for 1993-95. FAPRI projections of prices and yields for 1996-2002 are utilized for the baseline analyses presented in this report. All of the crop farms are assumed to begin 1996 with 20 percent intermediate- and long-term debt, based on information provided by ERS-USDA and the panel members. Initial debt levels for dairy farms were set at 30 percent; initial debt levels for beef cattle ranches were 1 percent for land and 5 percent for cattle and machinery; and initial debt levels for hog farms were 45 percent.


Key Assumptions


FAPRI January 1997 Baseline

Projected crop prices for FAPRI's January 1997 baseline are summarized in Table 2. Assumed loan rates and projected annual contract payment rates, net of 1995 deficiency repayments in 1996 and 1997, are also summarized in Table 2. It has been estimated that the net annual contract payment rates for corn will be $0.28/bu. in 1997; decreasing to $0.376/bu. in 1998 and decreasing to $0.26/bu. in 2002. Contract payment rates for wheat are estimated at $0.61/bu. in 1997 with the payment rate decreasing to $0.45/bu. in 2002. Cotton's contract payment rate for 1997 is estimated at $0.0725/lb. and is projected to decrease to $0.0536/lb. by 2002. The contract payment rate for rice is projected to be $2.725/cwt. in 1997; increasing to $2.925/cwt. in 1998 and declining to $2.02/cwt in 2002. The farms that grow contract commodities are assumed to have accepted the 1995 advance deficiency payments and will have the repayments offset against 1996 contract payments for wheat, barley, oats, and upland cotton. The corn and sorghum repayments will be offset against their 1997 contract payments.

Projected livestock prices for FAPRI's January 1997 baseline are summarized in Table 3. Beef cattle prices are projected to increase starting in 1997. The average 1996 feeder cattle price was estimated at $61.37/cwt. for a low, with 1997 price being projected at $67.87/cwt., and 2001 is projected to experience the peak price of $92.92/cwt. Hog prices decline after 1997 to a low of $42.04/cwt. in 1999, then recover to $49.03/cwt. in 2001. Annual milk prices for the ten states, where representative dairy farms are located, are summarized in Table 3. Milk prices generally decrease after 1996 to a low in 2001 and then show a small increase to 2002.

Projected annual rates of change for variable cash expenses are presented in Table 4. The rate of change in input prices and interest rates come from FAPRI's January 1997 Baseline which relies on WEFA's macroeconomic projections. Annual interest rates paid for long-term and intermediate-term loans and earned for savings are also summarized in Table 4. Assumed annual rates of change in land values over the 1996-2002 period are provided by the FAPRI Baseline (Table 4).


Definitions of Variables in the Summary Tables


Feed Grain Farm Impacts

Map of Representative Farms Producing Feed Grains
Figures for Feed Grain Farms
Tables for Feed Grain Farms


Wheat Farm Impacts

Map of Representative Farms Producing Wheat
Figures for Wheat Farms
Table for Wheat Farms


Upland Cotton Farm Impacts

Map of Representative Farms Producing Cotton
Figures for Upland Cotton Farms
Table for Upland Cotton Farms


Rice Farm Impacts

Map of Representative Farms Producing Rice
Figures for Rice Farms
Table for Rice Farms


Dairy Impacts

Map of Representative Farms Producing Milk
Figures for Dairy Farms
Tables for Dairy Farms


Beef Cattle Impacts

Map of Representative Farms Producing Beef Cattle
Figures for Beef Cattle Ranches
Table for Beef Cattle Ranches


Hog Farm Impacts

Map of Representative Farms Producing Hogs
Figures for Hog Farms
Table for Hog Farms

APPENDIX A:
CHARACTERISTICS OF REPRESENTATIVE FARMS

1996 CHARACTERISTICS OF PANEL FARMS PRODUCING FEED GRAINS
Appendix Table A1
Appendix Table A2

IAG950A 950-acre Northwestern Iowa (Webster County) moderate size grain farm that plants 475 acres of corn and 475 acres of soybeans. The farm receives 57 percent of its receipts from corn. This farm has been updated for 1996.
IAG2200 A 2,200-acre Northwestern Iowa (Webster County) large grain farm that plants 1,100 acres of corn and 1,100 acres of soybeans. The farm generates 58 percent of its receipts from corn. The farm has been updated for 1996.
MOCG1500 A 1,500-acre Central Missouri (Carroll County) moderate size grain farm with 250 acres of wheat, 550 acres of corn, and 700 acres of soybeans. This farm is located in the Missouri river bottom and supplies feed to the livestock producers in the region at premium to other areas of Missouri. Corn generates about 46 percent of the farm's receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
MOCG3000 A 3,000-acre Central Missouri (Carroll County) large grain farm with 300 acres of wheat, 1,350 acres of corn, and 1,350 acres of soybeans. This farm is located in the Missouri river bottom and supplies feed to the livestock producers in the region at premium to other areas of Missouri. The farm generates about 56 percent of its total revenue from corn. The farm has been updated for 1996.
MONG1200 A 1,200-acre Northern Missouri (Nodaway County) diversified grain farm with 525 acres of corn, 525 acres of soybeans, and 150 acres of hay. The farm also has 150 breeding cows and 80 breeding sows. The farm generates about 45 percent of its total revenue from corn and soybeans, 40 percent from hogs, and 14 percent from cattle. The farm has been updated for 1996.
NEG800 A 800-acre South Central Nebraska (Phelps County) moderate size 100 percent irrigated grain farm that plants 770 acres of corn, and 30 acres of alfalfa. The farm also has 100 breeding cows. The farm generates 92 percent of its receipts from corn. The farm has been updated for 1996.
NEG1575 A 1,575-acre South Central Nebraska (Phelps County) large 100 percent irrigated grain farm that plants 1,575 acres of corn. The farm generates about 98 percent of its receipts from corn. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXNP1600 A 1,600-acre Northern High Plains of Texas (Moore County) moderate size 100 percent irrigated grain farm with 642 acres of wheat, 280 acres of sorghum, 470 acres of corn, and 208 acres fallow. The farm generates 68 percent of its total receipts from feed grains. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXNP5500 A 5,500-acre Northern High Plains of Texas (Moore County) large 85 percent irrigated grain farm with 1,675 acres of irrigated wheat, 800 acres of dryland wheat in the corners of all pivot irrigated fields, 275 acres of irrigated sorghum, 2,200 acres of irrigated corn, and 550 acres fallow. The farm generates about 72 percent of its receipts from feed grains. The farm has been updated for 1996.
KSG728 A 728-acre Southwestern Kansas (Finney County) 100 percent irrigated grain farm with 128 acres of wheat, and 600 acres of corn. The farm generates 92 percent of its total receipts from corn. This farm is more likely to be considered a small farm rather than our typical moderate size operation. The farm has been updated for 1996.
KSG1652 A 1,652-acre Southwestern Kansas (Finney County) moderate size 100 percent irrigated grain farm with 600 acres of wheat, and 1050 acres of corn. The farm generates 89 percent of its total receipts from corn. The farm has been updated for 1996.
SCG1500 A 1,500-acre South Carolina (Clarendon County) moderate size grain farm with 750 acres of double cropped wheat and soybeans, 600 acres of corn, and 150 acres of full season soybeans. The farm generates about 68 percent of its total receipts from corn and soybeans. This farm enjoys high returns on double cropped acreage but timing will not allow more than 750 acres. The farm has been updated for 1996.
SCG3500 A 3,500-acre South Carolina (Clarendon County) large grain farm with 2020 acres of double crop wheat and soybeans, 350 acres of cotton, 1,130 acres of corn. This farm enjoys high returns on double cropped acreage but timing is a limiting factor. The farm generates 73 percent of its receipts from corn and soybeans. The farm has been updated for 1996.

1996 CHARACTERISTICS OF PANEL FARMS PRODUCING WHEAT
Appendix Table A3

WAW1500 A 1,500-acre Southeastern Washington (Whitman County) moderate size grain farm that plants 750 acres of wheat, 300 acres of barley, and 450 acres of peas. Disease problems require a rotation that includes at least a minimum amount of barley and peas in order to maintain wheat yields. The farm generates 67 percent of its receipts from wheat. The farm has been updated for 1996.
WAW4250 A 4,250-acre Southeastern Washington (Whitman County) large size grain farm that is harvesting 3,188 acres of wheat, 425 acres of Barley, and 638 acres of Peas. Disease problems require a rotation that includes at least a minimum amount of barley and peas in order to maintain wheat yields. The farm generates 86 percent of its receipts from winter and spring wheat. The farm has been updated for 1996.
NDW1760 A 1,760-acre South Central North Dakota (Barnes County) moderate size grain farm that has 920 acres of wheat, 400 acres of barley, and 440 acres of sunflowers. Rotation and disease problems will not allow more than 25% of the acres to be planted to sunflowers. The farm receives about 53 percent of receipts from wheat. The farm has been updated for 1996.
NDW4600 A 4,600-acre South Central North Dakota (Barnes County) large grain farm that plants 2,400 acres of wheat, 1,200 acres of barley, and 1,000 acres of sunflowers. Rotation and disease problems will not allow more than 25% of the acres to be planted to sunflowers. Wheat accounts for 53 percent of the farms total gross receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
KSSC1495 A 1,495-acre South Central Kansas (Sumner County) moderate size grain farm that plants 1,200 acres of wheat, and 295 acres of grain sorghum. The farm generates 81 percent of its receipts from wheat. The farm has been updated for 1996.
KSSC3080 A 3,080-acre South Central Kansas (Sumner County) large grain farm harvesting 2,464 acres of wheat, 462 acres of grain sorghum, and 154 acres of hay. The farm also has 67 breeding cows. The farm generates 81 percent of its receipts from wheat. The farm has been updated for 1996.
KSNW2325 A 2,325-acre North Western Kansas (Thomas County) moderate size grain farm that plants 900 acres of wheat, 225 acres of grain sorghum, 225 acres of corn and has 900 acres of fallow. The farm also has 100 breeding cows. The farm generates 55 percent of its receipts from wheat. The farm has been updated for 1996.
KSNW4300 A 4,300-acre North Western Kansas (Thomas County) large grain farm harvesting 2,000 acres of wheat, 250 acres of grain sorghum, 250 acres of dryland corn, 240 of irrigated corn, 75 acres of hay, and 1485 acres of fallow. The farm also has 100 breeding cows. The farm generates 56 percent of its receipts from wheat. The farm has been updated for 1996.
COW2700 A 2,700-acre Northeast Colorado (Washington County) moderate size grain farm that plants 1,100 acres of wheat, 400 acres of millet, and 120 acres of corn, and will leave 810 acres fallow. This farm is using a smaller fallow rotation than its larger counterpart thus allowing for only 680 less harvested acres per year. The farm generates 70 percent of its receipts from wheat. The farm has been updated for 1996.
COW4000 A 4,000-acre Northeast Colorado (Washington County) large size grain farm that plants 1,700 acres of wheat, and 600 acres of millet, and will leave 1700 acres in fallow. The 50/50 rotation on wheat and fallow makes the harvested acres on this farm closer to the harvested acres on the moderate farm. Wheat produces 82 percent of the farms gross revenue. The farm has been updated for 1996.

1996 CHARACTERISTICS OF PANEL FARMS PRODUCING COTTON
Appendix Table A4

CAC2000 A 2000-acre Central San Joaquin Valley California (Kings County) moderate size cotton farm that plants 1100 acres of cotton, 300 acres of wheat, 300 acres of corn and 300 acres of hay. The farm generates 65 percent of its gross income from cotton. The farm has been updated for 1996.
CAC6000 A 6000-acre Central San Joaquin Valley California (Kings County) large cotton farm harvesting 3,000 acres of cotton, 1,500 acres of vegetables, 720 acres of wheat, 240 acres of corn, and 300 acres of hay. Vegetables on this farm vary considerable from year to year depending on the price of the particular vegetable, however, the returns to this 1500 acres remain relatively stable over time. Cotton generates about 71 percent of this farm's receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXSP1682 A 1,682-acre Texas Southern High Plains (Dawson County) moderate size cotton farm. The farm plants 961 acres of cotton (886 dryland and 75 irrigated), 95 acres of peanuts, and has 183 acres in CRP. This farm is just now starting to adopt the irrigation practices of its larger counterpart. The farm generates 79 percent of its receipts from cotton. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXSP3697 A 3,697-acre Texas Southern High Plains (Dawson County) large cotton farm. The farm plants 2,822 acres of cotton (2,094 dryland and 728 irrigated), 128 acres of peanuts and has 214 acres in CRP. Cotton generates 92 percent of this farms receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXRP1700 A 1,700-acre Texas Rolling Plains (Jones County) moderate size cotton farm that plants 1,070 acres of cotton and 200 acres of wheat. The farm also has 50 breeding cows and uses the wheat to graze the cattle during the winter. Cotton accounts for 88 percent of the farms receipts. The farm has been updated for 1993.
TXRP2500 A 2,500-acre Texas Rolling Plains (Jones County) large cotton farm that plants 1,633 acres of cotton, and 300 acres of wheat. The farm also has 75 breeding cows and uses the wheat acreage to graze the cattle in the winter. About 88 percent of this farms receipts are derived from cotton. The farm has been updated for 1993.
TXBL1200 A 1,200-acre Texas Blacklands (Williamson County) moderate size cotton and grain farm with 400 acres of cotton, 350 acres of sorghum, and 350 acres of corn. This farm also has 50 breeding cows which are pastured on rented land that cannot be cropped. Cotton generates 50 percent of the farms receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXCB1700 A 1,700-acre Texas Coastal Bend (San Patricio County) cotton farm with 765 acres of cotton and 935 acres of grain sorghum. Severe disease problems force this farm to plant at a minimum 50 percent of the land to grain sorghum. About 70 percent of this farm's receipts are cotton receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
MSC1635 A 1,635-acre Mississippi Delta (Washington County) moderate size cotton farm that plants 925 acres of cotton and 640 acres of soybeans. The farm generates 87 percent of its receipts from cotton. The farm has been updated for 1993.
MSC3620 A 3,620-acre Mississippi Delta (Washington County) large cotton farm that plants 1,700 acres of cotton and 1,620 acres of soybeans. About 83 percent of the farm's receipts are derived from cotton. The farm has been updated for 1993.

1996 CHARACTERISTICS OF PANEL FARMS PRODUCING RICE
Appendix Table A5

CAR424 A 424-acre Sacramento Valley California (Sutter and Yuba Counties) moderate size rice farm that plants 400 acres of rice. The farm generates 95 percent of its gross income from rice. The farm has been updated for 1996.
CAR1365 A 1,365-acre Sacramento Valley California (Sutter and Yuba Counties) large rice farm that plants 1265 acres of rice. The farm generates about 98 percent of its gross income from rice. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXR2118 A 2,118-acre West of Houston, Texas (Wharton County) moderate size rice farm that harvests 600 acres of first crop rice, and 510 acres of ratoon rice. The farm receives 99 percent of its gross receipts from rice. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXR3750 A 3,750-acre West of Houston, Texas (Wharton County) large rice farm that harvests 1500 acres of first-crop rice, 1275 acres of ratoon rice, and 200 acres of hay. The farm also has 200 breeding cows. 90 percent of the farm's gross receipts are from rice. The farm has been updated for 1996.
MOR1900 A 1,900-acre Southeastern Missouri (Butler County) moderate size rice farm with 616 acres of rice, 650 acres of soybeans, and 633 acres of corn. Rice accounts for 47 percent of this farms receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
MOR4000 A 4,000-acre Southeastern Missouri (Butler County) large rice farm with 1,710 acres of rice, 800 acre soybeans, 1,250 acres of corn, and 240 acres of cotton. Fifty-five percent of this farm's receipts are generated from rice. The farm has been updated for 1996.
ARR1260 A 1,260-acre Arkansas (Poinsett County) moderate size rice farm that plants 696 acres of rice, 319 acres of soybeans and 145 acres of wheat. Rice accounts for 77 percent of the farm's receipts. This farm has been updated for 1993.
LAR1100 A 1,100-acre Louisiana (Jefferson Davis, Acadia, and Vermilion Parishes) moderate size rice farm harvesting 540 acres of rice, 362 acres of soybeans, and 198 acres of fallow. About 83 percent of this farm's receipts are generated by rice. This farm has been updated for 1993.

1996 CHARACTERISTICS OF PANEL FARMS PRODUCING MILK
Appendix Table A6
Appendix Table A7

CAD1710 A 1710-cow Central California (Tulare County) large dairy farm that produces 21,800 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 200 acres of hay and 325 acres of silage for which it employs custom harvesting. Milk receipts generate 95 percent of all receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
WAD185 A 185-cow Northern Washington (Whatcom County) moderate size dairy farm that produces 25,500 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 112 acres of silage and generates 98 percent of its receipts from milk. The farm has been updated for 1996.
WAD850 A 850-cow Northern Washington (Whatcom County) large dairy farm that produces 23,500 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 500 acres of silage and generates 97 percent of its receipts from milk. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXCD400 A 400-cow Central Texas (Erath County) moderate size dairy farm that produces 16,100 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 118 acres of hay and 172 acres of silage. Milk is 95 percent of the farms gross income. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXCD825 A 825-cow Central Texas (Erath County) large dairy farm that produces 19,200 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 215 acres for silage and milk accounts for 96 percent of receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXED210 A 210-cow East Texas (Hopkins County) moderate size dairy farm that produces 16,000 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 195 acres of hay and generates 90 percent of its receipts from milk. The farm has been updated for 1996.
TXED650 A 650-cow East Texas (Lamar County) large dairy farm that produces 17,000 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 140 acres of hay and 425 acres of silage. The farm generates 93 percent of its receipts from milk. The farm has been updated for 1996.
WID70 A 70-cow Eastern Wisconsin (Winnebago County) moderate size dairy farm that produces 20,500 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 37 acres of hay, 40 acres of corn, 23 acres of silage, and 102 acres of haylage. Milk makes up 92 percent of this farm's receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
WID600 A 600-cow Eastern Wisconsin (Winnebago County) large dairy farm that produces 19,800 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 350 acres of corn, 200 acres of silage, and 450 acres of haylage. Milk accounts for 93 percent of the farm's receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
MOD85 A 85-cow Southwestern Missouri (Christian County) moderate size dairy farm that averages 15,600 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 211 acres of hay. About 91 percent of the farm's receipts come from milk. The farm has been updated for 1996.
MOD300 A 300-cow Southwestern Missouri (Christian County) large dairy farm that averages 17,300 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 573 acres of hay and 107 acres of silage. Milk accounts for 95 percent of this farm's receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
NYWD700 A 700-cow Western New York (Wyoming County) moderate size dairy farm that produces 22,700 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 510 acres of silage and 425 acres of haylage. About 94 percent of the farm's receipts come from milk. The farm has been updated for 1996.
NYWD1200 A 1200-cow Western New York (Wyoming County) large dairy farm that produces 21,700 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 825 acres of silage and 700 acres of haylage. Milk accounts for 96 percent of the farm's receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
NYCD110 A 110-cow Central New York (Cayuga County) moderate size dairy farm that produces 22,000 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 50 acres of hay, 75 acres of corn, 76 acres of silage, and 94 acres of haylage. Milk accounts for 95 percent of the farms receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
NYCD300 A 300-cow Central New York (Cayuga County) large dairy farm that produces 21,500 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 155 acres of hay, 145 acres of corn, 170 acres of silage, and 286 acres of haylage. The farm generates 95 percent of its receipts from milk. The farm has been updated for 1996.
VTD85 A 85-cow Vermont (Washington County) moderate size dairy farm that averages 22,400 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 73 acres of hay, 57 acres of silage, and 70 acres of haylage. Milk accounts for 91 percent of the receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
VTD350 A 350-cow Vermont (Washington County) large dairy farm that averages 22,000 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 332 acres of hay, 200 acres of silage, and 168 acres of haylage. Milk accounts for 96 percent of the farm's receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
GAND175 A 175-cow Central Georgia (Putnam County) moderate size dairy farm that produces 18,000 pounds of milk per cow. Rather than plant any crops, this farm opts to purchase all of its feed requirements in the form of a premixed ration. Milk accounts for 96 percent of the farm's gross income. The farm has been updated for 1996.
GASD650 A 650-cow Southern Georgia (Houston County) large dairy farm that produces 19,000 pounds of milk per cow. The farm plants 150 acres of hay and 200 acres of silage. Milk makes up 96 percent of the farm's receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
FLND380 A 380-cow North Florida (Lafayette County) moderate size dairy farm that averages 17,000 pounds of milk per cow. The farm grows 200 acres of hay. All feed requirements, in addition to hay, are met through a purchased pre-mixed ration. Milk sales account for 95 percent of the farm's receipts. Excess hay sales provide one percent of cash receipts and are expected to provide supplemental sales from year to year. The farm has been updated for 1996.
FLSD2000 A 2000-cow South Central Florida (Okeechobee County) large dairy farm that produces 16,500 pounds of milk per cow. The farm grows 1210 acres of hay. In addition to grass hay, grass silage, and pasture, cows receive a purchased premixed ration. Milk sales generate 94 percent of its receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.
NMD2000 A 2000-cow Southern New Mexico (Dona Anna and Chaves County) large dairy farm that averages 22,400 pounds per cow. Rather than plant any crops, this farm purchased all commodities necessary for blending its own total mixed ration. Milk sales account for 95 percent of cash receipts. The farm has been updated for 1996.

1996 CHARACTERISTICS OF PANEL FARMS PRODUCING BEEF CATTLE
Appendix Table A8

MTB400 A 400-cow ranch located in the eastern plains of Montana (Custer County). The ranch runs cows on a combination of owned, federal, state, and private lease land. One quarter of its total animal unit month grazing needs come from federal land and the ranch owns 14,000 acres of pasture. Of the total land owned, 440 acres are planted for hay. Cattle generates 100 percent of the total receipts on the ranch. This ranch has been updated for 1996.
WYB300 A 300-cow ranch located in North Central Wyoming (Washakie County). The ranch harvests hay from 200 acres of owned cropland, and it owns another 1000 acres of pastureland. Rangeland leased from the Forest Service provides 42 percent of the ranch's grazing needs. Cattle generates 100 percent of the total receipts on the ranch. This ranch has been updated for 1996.
COB300 A 300-cow ranch located in Northwest Colorado (Routt County). Federal land provides 7 percent of the ranch's AUM needs. Hay is produced on 400 acres of the pasture-hay land, of which the ranch owns 300. The ranch owns 1800 acres of pastureland, and the cattle graze the federal land during the summer months. Cattle generates 89 percent of the total receipts on the ranch. This ranch participates in a retained ownership program through the feedlot with 75% of the steers raised. This ranch has been updated for 1996.
TXB400 A 400-cow ranch located in South Central Texas (Gonzales County). The ranch owns 2,000 acres and leases 1,200 acres of pasture. Hay and oats for grazing are grown on 480 acres. Cattle generates 98 percent of the total receipts on the ranch. This ranch has been updated for 1993.
MOSB150 A 150-cow/grain farm located in Southwest Missouri (Dade County). The farm has 400 acres of hay, 160 acres of soybeans, 80 acres of sorghum, and 80 acres of wheat. The farm has 400 acres of pastureland for the cattle herd. Cattle generates 47 percent of the total receipts for the farm. Crops other than hay generate another 49 percent of this farm's receipts. This farm has been updated for 1993.

1996 CHARACTERISTICS OF PANEL FARMS PRODUCING HOGS
Appendix Table A9

MOH100 A 100-sow hog farm located in North Central Missouri (Carroll County). The farm plants 160 acres of corn, 80 acres of soybeans, 80 acres of wheat, and 40 acres of hay. The farm weans 16 pigs per sow in a year and has a feeding efficiency measure of 3.4 pounds of feed per pound of pork sold. Hogs generate 82 percent of the farm's total receipts while crops produce another 15 percent of receipts. This farm has been updated for 1996.
MOH225 A 225-sow hog farm located in North Central Missouri (Carroll County). The farm plants 400 acres of corn, 400 acres of soybeans, and 200 acres of wheat. This farm feeds 3.7 pounds of feed for every pound of pork sold and averages 19 pigs weaned per sow per year. The hog enterprise generates about 82 percent of the total receipts for the farm. The remainder of total receipts is generated in crop sales. This farm has been updated for 1996.
ILH200 A 200-sow hog farm located in Western Illinois (Knox County). The farm plants 750 acres of corn, 610 acres of soybeans, and 20 acres of wheat. This farm weans 17 pigs/sow/year and operates on 3.5 pounds of feed per pound of pork sold. The hog operation produces about 60 percent of the farm's total receipts while the sale of crops accounts for about 40. This farm has been updated for 1996.
ILH750 A 750-sow hog farm located in Western Illinois (Knox County). The farm plants 1080 acres of corn and 720 acres of soybeans. This farm will wean an average of 22 pigs per sow in a year, and feeds about 3.1 pounds of feed per pound of pork sold in a year. The hog enterprise generates 89 percent of the total receipts on the farm. Corn and soybean sales account for the remaining 11 percent. This farm has been updated for 1996.
INH150 A 150-sow hog farm located in North Central Indiana (Carroll County). The farm plants 750 acres of corn, 225 acres of soybeans, and 25 acres of wheat. The farm feeds 3.3 pounds of feed per pound of pork sold and weans 17 pigs/sow/year. About 58 percent of the farm's receipts comes from hogs, and the remainder of receipts is generated through crop sales. This farm has been updated for 1996.
INH600 A 600-sow hog farm located in North Central Indiana (Carroll County). The farm plants 1500 acres of corn, 700 acres of soybeans, and 50 acres of wheat. The farm is able to wean 20 pigs per sow per year and feed 3.3 pounds of feed per pound of pork sold. The hog operation accounts for approximately three quarters of the farm's total receipts. The other quarter of receipts comes from crop sales. This farm has been updated for 1996.
NCH350 A 350-sow hog farm located in Eastern North Carolina (Wayne County). The farm plants 100 acres of hay to dispose of waste from the farrow-to-finish hog operation. The farm will wean 19.5 pigs per sow per year and will feed 3.0 pounds of feed per pound of pork sold. The sale of hogs produces 100 percent of the farm's receipts. This farm has been updated for 1996.
NCH13268 A 13,268-sow hog farm located in Eastern North Carolina (Wayne County). The operation contracts with individual farmers who provide on-site management, labor, and facilities. The operation provides hogs, feed and specialized labor for its group of contract farrowing, nursery and finishing farms. On average the farm will wean 20 pigs per sow per year. A measure of feed efficiency for this operation is 2.9 pounds of feed per pound of pork sold. 100 percent of the farm's receipts are produced from the sale of hogs. This farm has been updated for 1996.

APPENDIX B:
LIST OF PANEL FARM COOPERATORS

Feed Grain Farms
Wheat Farms
Cotton Farms
Rice Farms
Dairy Farms
Beef Producers
Hog Farms